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Dameon Pierce

Dameon Pierce Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Denver Broncos vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Dameon Pierce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.6% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • The Texans are a massive 10-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 5th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans offense to be the 5th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 25.58 seconds per snap.
  • The Denver Broncos pass defense has displayed bad efficiency vs. RBs since the start of last season, allowing 6.61 yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in the league.
  • The Houston Texans offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • The Denver Broncos pass defense has conceded the lowest Completion% in football (72.1%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (72.1%).
  • The Denver Broncos linebackers profile as the 4th-best group of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Houston Texans O-line has afforded their quarterback just 2.33 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

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