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Dameon Pierce

Dameon Pierce Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Miami Dolphins vs Houston Texans

Dameon Pierce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-140/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Houston Texans will be rolling with backup quarterback Kyle Allen in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 1.7% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

The Texans are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 8th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 63.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 36.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Texans to call the 2nd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Houston Texans have called the 5th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 54.4 plays per game.

Dameon Pierce has totaled a meager -2.0 air yards per game this year: just 14th percentile among running backs.

The Houston Texans offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

Dameon Pierce has been among the least efficient receivers in the league among RBs, averaging a lowly 4.78 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 17th percentile.

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