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Dameon Pierce

Dameon Pierce Carries
Player Prop Week 6

Houston Texans vs New Orleans Saints

Dameon Pierce Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Texans have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 2.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

At the present time, the 6th-most run-oriented team in the NFL (42.1% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Texans.

The projections expect this game to see the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 137.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 6th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Texans this year (a whopping 62.8 per game on average).

In this week's game, Dameon Pierce is anticipated by the projections to secure a spot in the 99th percentile when it comes to RBs with 19.8 carries.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

The Houston Texans O-line profiles as the 2nd-worst in football last year at run-game blocking.

As it relates to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, New Orleans's LB corps has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.

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