Dameon Pierce Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

My Account Log Out

reorder

Dameon Pierce

NFL · Player Props

Dameon Pierce

RB · Houston Texans

Carries

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 5:06 PM EST

Analysis

Dameon Pierce Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 5th-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 46.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Dameon Pierce to notch 16.2 carries in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Dameon Pierce to be much less involved in his offense's rushing attack this week (52.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (75.6% in games he has played).
The Houston Texans offensive line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
The Indianapolis Colts defensive tackles profile as the best group of DTs in the league since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.

More Dameon Pierce Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow