Dameon Pierce Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Dameon Pierce

NFL · Player Props

Dameon Pierce

RB · Houston Texans

Carries

New York Jets vs Houston Texans · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Dameon Pierce Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 3-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their typical game plan.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to run on 48.3% of their chances: the 4th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to run the 9th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
In this week's contest, Dameon Pierce is anticipated by the model to rank in the 78th percentile among running backs with 14.6 rush attempts.

Favors Under

Dameon Pierce has been much less involved in his offense's run game this season (55.8% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (77.3%).
When talking about executing run-blocking assignments (and the effect it has on all ground game stats), the offensive line of the Houston Texans grades out as the 2nd-worst in football last year.
When it comes to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, New York's unit has been exceptional this year, ranking as the 10th-best in football.

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