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Dameon Pierce

Dameon Pierce Carries
Player Prop Week 13

Houston Texans vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Dameon Pierce Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their standard game plan.
  • The Houston Texans have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 60.0 plays per game.
  • The Broncos defensive tackles rank as the 5th-worst DT corps in football this year with their run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Texans to call the 5th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
  • Our trusted projections expect Dameon Pierce to be much less involved in his offense's ground game in this week's game (38.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (56.3% in games he has played).
  • As it relates to blocking for ball-carriers (and the importance it has on all run game metrics), the O-line of the Houston Texans ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league last year.

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