Dameon Pierce Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Dameon Pierce

NFL · Player Props

Dameon Pierce

RB · Houston Texans

Carries

Houston Texans vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 4, 2022 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Dameon Pierce Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Dameon Pierce to total 17.7 carries in this contest, on average, ranking in the 94th percentile among RBs.
Dameon Pierce has garnered 82.1% of his team's carries this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.4% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
The Texans are a heavy 13.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans to be the least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 30.9% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Houston Texans have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.4 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

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