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Dameon Pierce
NFL · Player Props
Dameon Pierce
RB · Houston Texans
Carries
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans · Week 5, 2022 Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC
NFL Props Dameon Pierce Carries

Dameon Pierce Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -120.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans offense to be the 3rd-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 26.40 seconds per snap.
  • The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Dameon Pierce to accumulate 17.8 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.
  • Dameon Pierce has garnered 75.0% of his team's carries this year, putting him in the 96th percentile among running backs.
Favors Under
  • The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.2% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • The Texans are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans to be the least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 35.5% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best group of LBs in football this year in regard to stopping the run.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have stacked the box against opponents on 22.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
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