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Dameon Pierce

Dameon Pierce Carries
Player Prop Week 5

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans

Dameon Pierce Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans offense to be the 3rd-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 26.40 seconds per snap.

The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Dameon Pierce to accumulate 17.8 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.

Dameon Pierce has garnered 75.0% of his team's carries this year, putting him in the 96th percentile among running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.2% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).

The Texans are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans to be the least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 35.5% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best group of LBs in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have stacked the box against opponents on 22.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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