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Dameon Pierce

Dameon Pierce Carries
Player Prop Week 13

Houston Texans vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Dameon Pierce Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-116/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -124.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects Dameon Pierce to garner 16.8 carries in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile among RBs.
  • Dameon Pierce has garnered 82.6% of his offense's carries this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among RBs.
  • The Cleveland Browns defensive tackles project as the 2nd-worst DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Houston Texans will be forced to use backup quarterback Kyle Allen this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.4% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • The Texans are a massive 7.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans to be the 8th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 36.3% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Texans to run the 5th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

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