Dameon Pierce Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Dameon Pierce

NFL · Player Props

Dameon Pierce

RB · Houston Texans

Carries

Houston Texans vs Cleveland Browns · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 3:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Dameon Pierce Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-116/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Dameon Pierce to garner 16.8 carries in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile among RBs.
Dameon Pierce has garnered 82.6% of his offense's carries this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among RBs.
The Cleveland Browns defensive tackles project as the 2nd-worst DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The Houston Texans will be forced to use backup quarterback Kyle Allen this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.4% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
The Texans are a massive 7.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans to be the 8th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 36.3% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Texans to run the 5th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

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