Dameon Pierce Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Dameon Pierce

NFL · Player Props

Dameon Pierce

RB · Houston Texans

Carries

Miami Dolphins vs Houston Texans · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Dameon Pierce Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-119/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -119.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Dameon Pierce to notch 19.3 carries in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 95th percentile among running backs.
Dameon Pierce has received 83.9% of his offense's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile among RBs.
The Miami Dolphins defensive tackles profile as the 3rd-worst group of DTs in football this year in regard to defending the run.

Favors Under

The Houston Texans will be rolling with backup quarterback Kyle Allen in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 1.7% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
The Texans are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans to be the 8th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 36.9% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Texans to call the 2nd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

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