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Dameon Pierce

Dameon Pierce Carries
Player Prop Week 12

Miami Dolphins vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Dameon Pierce Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-119/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -119.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects Dameon Pierce to notch 19.3 carries in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 95th percentile among running backs.
  • Dameon Pierce has received 83.9% of his offense's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile among RBs.
  • The Miami Dolphins defensive tackles profile as the 3rd-worst group of DTs in football this year in regard to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Houston Texans will be rolling with backup quarterback Kyle Allen in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 1.7% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • The Texans are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans to be the 8th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 36.9% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Texans to call the 2nd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

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