Dalvin Cook Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Dalvin Cook

NFL · Player Props

Dalvin Cook

RB · New York Jets

Rushing Yards

New York Giants vs New York Jets · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 4:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Dalvin Cook Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jets are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The predictive model expects the Jets as the 10th-most run-focused team among all teams this week with a 44.0% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
This year, the daunting Giants run defense has yielded a measly 5.25 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's running game: the 30th-smallest rate in the NFL.
The Giants linebackers grade out as the worst group of LBs in football this year with their run defense.

Favors Under

The Jets may throw the ball less in this game (and call more carries) because they be forced to utilize backup QB Zach Wilson.
Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the New York Jets are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run only 63.4 plays on offense in this contest: the 10th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Jets this year (a mere 52.0 per game on average).
Dalvin Cook has been a much smaller part of his offense's run game this year (30.0% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (69.3%).
The Jets offensive line ranks as the worst in football last year at opening holes for runners.

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