Dalvin Cook Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Dalvin Cook

NFL · Player Props

Dalvin Cook

RB · New York Jets

Rushing Yards

New York Jets vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 16, 2023 2:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Dalvin Cook Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jets have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 1.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).

Favors Under

The New York Jets may pass less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be rolling with backup QB Zach Wilson.
The Jets are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
The model projects the New York Jets as the 10th-least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 40.3% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Right now, the 5th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the New York Jets.
After comprising 69.3% of his offense's carries last year, Dalvin Cook has been called on less the running game this year, now comprising just 32.4%.

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