My Account Log Out

reorder

Dalvin Cook

Dalvin Cook Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

New York Jets vs Washington Commanders

Dalvin Cook Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+100/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -137.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Jets being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.

At a mere 27.18 seconds per play, the New York Jets offense profiles as the 10th-fastest paced in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year.

This year, the stout Commanders run defense has surrendered a puny 4.55 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing teams: the 23rd-smallest rate in the NFL.

The Washington defensive tackles grade out as the 9th-worst group of DTs in football this year in regard to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 9th-least run-centric team in the NFL (36.6% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Jets.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may go down.

Dalvin Cook has been a less important option in his team's run game this season (24.8% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (69.3%).

In regards to run-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all ground game metrics), the offensive line of the New York Jets profiles as the worst in football last year.

Dalvin Cook's 15.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season illustrates a significant diminishment in his rushing skills over last season's 68.0 rate.

More Dalvin Cook Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™