Dalvin Cook Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Dalvin Cook

NFL · Player Props

Dalvin Cook

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Rushing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Dalvin Cook Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 77.5 (-150/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Vikings are an enormous 7.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 26.83 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Dalvin Cook to garner 18.0 carries this week, on average, ranking in the 95th percentile among RBs.
Dalvin Cook has garnered 74.4% of his offense's carries this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among running backs.
The Minnesota Vikings O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the NFL this year at blocking for rushers.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 11th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 38.5% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Dalvin Cook has rushed for many fewer yards per game (66.0) this season than he did last season (89.0).
The Minnesota Vikings have faced a stacked the box on 20.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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