Dalvin Cook Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Dalvin Cook

NFL · Player Props

Dalvin Cook

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Rushing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 11:30 PM EST

Analysis

Dalvin Cook Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 78.5 (-133/+101).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 80.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 78.5 @ +101.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Vikings are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Dalvin Cook to earn 16.4 carries in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.
Dalvin Cook has been given 78.3% of his team's carries since the start of last season, ranking in the 99th percentile among RBs.
Dalvin Cook has picked up 84.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest marks in the league among RBs (98th percentile).
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 4th-most yards in the league (140 per game) vs. the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Vikings will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.4% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 7th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 38.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 9th-most sluggish paced defense in football (in a neutral context) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 27.66 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Minnesota Vikings offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in football since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.

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