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Dalvin Cook

Dalvin Cook Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Dalvin Cook Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 78.5 (-133/+101).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 80.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 78.5 @ +101.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Vikings are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects Dalvin Cook to earn 16.4 carries in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.
  • Dalvin Cook has been given 78.3% of his team's carries since the start of last season, ranking in the 99th percentile among RBs.
  • Dalvin Cook has picked up 84.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest marks in the league among RBs (98th percentile).
  • Opposing offenses have rushed for the 4th-most yards in the league (140 per game) vs. the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.4% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 7th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 38.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 9th-most sluggish paced defense in football (in a neutral context) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 27.66 seconds per snap.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Minnesota Vikings offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in football since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.

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