Dalvin Cook Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Dalvin Cook

NFL · Player Props

Dalvin Cook

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Rushing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 18, 2022 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Dalvin Cook Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 70.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 69.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Vikings are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 136.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Dalvin Cook to total 17.6 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking in the 93rd percentile among RBs.
Dalvin Cook has been given 76.4% of his team's carries this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile among RBs.
The Indianapolis Colts have stacked the box against opponents on just 13.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in football. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.0% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 4th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 35.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Dalvin Cook has run for significantly fewer yards per game (72.0) this season than he did last season (89.0).
The Indianapolis Colts defensive tackles project as the 2nd-best collection of DTs in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

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