Dalvin Cook Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Dalvin Cook

NFL · Player Props

Dalvin Cook

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Rushing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs New England Patriots · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 25, 2022 12:26 AM EST

Analysis

Dalvin Cook Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 73.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 74.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 73.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-most plays run on the slate this week at 132.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Dalvin Cook to earn 17.3 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile among running backs.
Dalvin Cook has been given 73.9% of his offense's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 96th percentile among running backs.
The Minnesota Vikings O-line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year at blocking for rushers.
Dalvin Cook's rushing efficiency (4.96 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league this year (78th percentile among RBs).

Favors Under

The Minnesota Vikings will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.7% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 4th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 35.9% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Dalvin Cook has rushed for a lot fewer yards per game (77.0) this season than he did last season (89.0).
Opposing offenses have run for the 9th-least yards in football (just 109 per game) vs. the New England Patriots defense this year.

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