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Dalvin Cook

Dalvin Cook Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Minnesota Vikings vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Dalvin Cook Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 73.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 74.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 73.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-most plays run on the slate this week at 132.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Dalvin Cook to earn 17.3 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile among running backs.
  • Dalvin Cook has been given 73.9% of his offense's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 96th percentile among running backs.
  • The Minnesota Vikings O-line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year at blocking for rushers.
  • Dalvin Cook's rushing efficiency (4.96 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league this year (78th percentile among RBs).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.7% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 4th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 35.9% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Dalvin Cook has rushed for a lot fewer yards per game (77.0) this season than he did last season (89.0).
  • Opposing offenses have run for the 9th-least yards in football (just 109 per game) vs. the New England Patriots defense this year.

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