Dalvin Cook Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Dalvin Cook

NFL · Player Props

Dalvin Cook

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Rushing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 20, 2022 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Dalvin Cook Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 80.5 (-131/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 79.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 80.5 @ -131.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the most plays run among all games this week at 140.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Dalvin Cook to notch 16.3 rush attempts in this game, on average, putting him in the 88th percentile among RBs.
The Minnesota Vikings offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in football this year in run blocking.
Dalvin Cook has done a better job at generating extra running yardage this year, compiling 3.74 yards-after-contact vs a 2.73 figure last year.
Opposing teams have rushed for the 8th-most yards in the NFL (139 per game) against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.7% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 2nd-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 33.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Dalvin Cook has been a more important option in his team's offense this season, playing on 75.0% of snaps vs just 58.8% last season.
Dalvin Cook has rushed for quite a few less yards per game (79.0) this season than he did last season (89.0).

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