Dalvin Cook Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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NFL · Player Props

Dalvin Cook

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Rushing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM UTC

Analysis

Dalvin Cook Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 71.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Vikings to call the 3rd-most total plays among all teams this week with 64.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Dalvin Cook to accrue 15.6 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile among RBs.
Dalvin Cook has generated 89.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the largest marks in the NFL among RBs (98th percentile).
Dalvin Cook's rushing efficiency (4.64 yards per carry) has been some of the best in football since the start of last season (76th percentile among RBs).
The Green Bay Packers defense owns the 4th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, surrendering 4.82 yards-per-carry.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Vikings will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.2% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 7th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 36.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Dalvin Cook to be much less involved in his team's run game this week (64.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (78.4% in games he has played).
The Minnesota Vikings offensive line profiles as the 10th-worst in the league since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.