Dalvin Cook Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Dalvin Cook

NFL · Player Props

Dalvin Cook

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Rushing TD

Minnesota Vikings vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 7:26 PM EST

Analysis

Dalvin Cook Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-108/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Vikings are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Dalvin Cook to be a much bigger part of his team's running game near the end zone this week (69.0% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (57.9% in games he has played).
The Minnesota Vikings offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in run blocking.
Dalvin Cook has run for 0.67 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest figures in the league among RBs (94th percentile).

Favors Under

The Vikings rank as the least run-heavy offense in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 30.2% red zone run rate.
The Arizona Cardinals safeties profile as the best safety corps in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.
The Minnesota Vikings have faced a stacked the box on 20.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Minnesota Vikings have gone no-huddle on a lowly 4.5% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in the NFL). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

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