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Dalvin Cook

Dalvin Cook Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 3

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Dalvin Cook Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+110/-140).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Vikings are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • Dalvin Cook has been given 71.4% of his team's red zone rush attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 96th percentile among RBs.
  • Dalvin Cook has rushed for 0.40 TDs per game on the ground since the start of last season (on average), one of the highest figures in the NFL among running backs (86th percentile).
  • Opposing teams have run for the 3rd-most TDs in football (1.26 per game) against the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season.
  • The Detroit Lions defensive ends profile as the worst group of DEs in football since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Vikings rank as the 3rd-least run-oriented team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 15.2% red zone run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 9th-most sluggish paced defense in football (in a neutral context) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 27.66 seconds per snap.
  • The Minnesota Vikings offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in football since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.
  • The Minnesota Vikings have been faced with a stacked the box on 20.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Minnesota Vikings have gone no-huddle on a mere 4.5% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-least in football). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

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