Dalvin Cook Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Dalvin Cook

NFL · Player Props

Dalvin Cook

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Rushing TD

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Jets · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Dalvin Cook Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+124/-167).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -154 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -167.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 132.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Dalvin Cook has been given 66.7% of his offense's red zone rush attempts this year, putting him in the 94th percentile among running backs.
Dalvin Cook has rushed for 0.55 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest figures in the league among RBs (87th percentile).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 8th-least run-oriented offense in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 40.0% red zone run rate.
The New York Jets defensive tackles rank as the 6th-best DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.
The Minnesota Vikings have gone up against a stacked the box on 20.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The New York Jets have stacked the box versus opponents on 22.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Minnesota Vikings have gone no-huddle on a mere 4.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-least in the league). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

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