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Dalvin Cook

Dalvin Cook Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 10

Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Dalvin Cook Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+115/-154).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +118 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Vikings to run the 4th-most total plays among all teams this week with 68.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Dalvin Cook has received 64.3% of his offense's red zone carries this year, ranking in the 94th percentile among running backs.
  • The Minnesota Vikings offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in the league this year at run-game blocking.
  • Dalvin Cook has rushed for 0.62 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest figures in football among RBs (90th percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Vikings are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 9th-least run-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 40.2% red zone run rate.
  • Opposing teams have run for the 7th-least TDs in football (0.62 per game) vs. the Buffalo Bills defense this year.
  • The Minnesota Vikings have gone up against a stacked the box on 20.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Buffalo Bills have stacked the box vs. opponents on 19.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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