Dalvin Cook Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Dalvin Cook

NFL · Player Props

Dalvin Cook

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Receptions

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Dalvin Cook Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+132/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -169 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -180.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 64.5% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 26.83 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Dalvin Cook has run a route on 51.1% of his offense's passing plays this year, putting him in the 89th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

The Vikings are an enormous 7.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
Opposing QBs have averaged 27.2 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the NFL.
The Minnesota Vikings offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
The Chicago Bears safeties grade out as the 5th-best collection of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Minnesota Vikings have gone no-huddle on a mere 4.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

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