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Dalvin Cook

Dalvin Cook Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Jets

Dalvin Cook Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-146/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -148 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -146.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.9% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 7th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 64.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 132.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Dalvin Cook has run a route on 55.1% of his offense's passing plays this year, putting him in the 90th percentile among RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

The Minnesota Vikings offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

The New York Jets pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (73.6%) versus RBs this year (73.6%).

The New York Jets defensive tackles grade out as the 3rd-best DT corps in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

The Minnesota Vikings have gone no-huddle on a mere 4.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-least in the league). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

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