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Dalvin Cook

Dalvin Cook Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

New York Jets vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Dalvin Cook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Jets will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Zach Wilson in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the NFL.
  • Dalvin Cook has been among the best pass-catching running backs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 16.0 yards per game while ranking in the 75th percentile.
  • The New England Patriots defense has conceded the 10th-most receiving yards per game in the league (37.0) to RBs since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New York Jets will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.8% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 8th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 55.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • The New York Jets O-line ranks as the 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • The New England Patriots pass defense has yielded the 8th-lowest Completion% in football (78.2%) versus running backs since the start of last season (78.2%).

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