My Account Log Out

reorder

Dalvin Cook

Dalvin Cook Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

New York Jets vs Houston Texans

Dalvin Cook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New York Jets may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more carries) because they be starting backup QB Zach Wilson.

The New York Jets have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 1.6% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

A passing game script is suggested by the Jets being a -3-point underdog this week.

At a mere 27.04 seconds per snap, the Jets offense ranks as the 10th-fastest paced in the league (adjusted for context) this year.

This year, the feeble Texans defense has surrendered the 4th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing RBs: a monstrous 6.60 yards.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being called for in this game) generally lead to lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and higher ground volume.

Dalvin Cook has been used less as a potential target this year (15.7% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (53.0%).

In regards to air yards, Dalvin Cook grades out in the paltry 16th percentile among running backs this year, averaging just -2.0 per game.

When talking about pass protection (and the impact it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Jets ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.

Dalvin Cook's 6.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year reflects an impressive decrease in his receiving ability over last year's 16.0 rate.

More Dalvin Cook Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™