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Dalvin Cook

Dalvin Cook Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

New Orleans Saints vs Minnesota Vikings

Dalvin Cook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+118/-147).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 3.6% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.9% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 134.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Dalvin Cook has run a route on 54.1% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile among RBs.

THE BLITZ projects Dalvin Cook to accrue 3.5 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile among running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Vikings are a 4-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

The Minnesota Vikings have played in the 4th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which should mean reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing attack effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this game.

Dalvin Cook has compiled a measly -6.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 1st percentile among running backs.

The Minnesota Vikings offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

Dalvin Cook's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 78.5% to 73.8%.

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