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Dalvin Cook

Dalvin Cook Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Dalvin Cook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 6.2% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • The Vikings are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 64.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 26.75 seconds per play.
  • Dalvin Cook has run a route on 55.4% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile among running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 29.5 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 2nd-least in football.
  • Dalvin Cook has posted a meager -2.0 air yards per game this year: just 13th percentile among running backs.
  • The Minnesota Vikings offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.
  • Dalvin Cook has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the league among running backs, hauling in a measly 76.8% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 24th percentile.
  • The Green Bay Packers pass defense has conceded the 10th-lowest Completion% in football (78.3%) vs. running backs this year (78.3%).

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