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Dalvin Cook

Dalvin Cook Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Dalvin Cook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.9% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 7th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 64.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 132.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Dalvin Cook has run a route on 55.1% of his offense's passing plays this year, putting him in the 90th percentile among RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • Dalvin Cook has put up a mere -2.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 11th percentile among RBs.
  • The Minnesota Vikings offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • Dalvin Cook has been among the least effective pass-catchers in the NFL among running backs, averaging a lowly 5.02 yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 24th percentile.
  • The New York Jets pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (73.6%) versus RBs this year (73.6%).

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