Dalvin Cook Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Dalvin Cook

NFL · Player Props

Dalvin Cook

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Receiving Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs New England Patriots · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 25, 2022 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Dalvin Cook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Vikings will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.7% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 64.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-most plays run on the slate this week at 132.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game versus the New England Patriots defense this year: 9th-most in football.

Favors Under

Dalvin Cook has put up a puny -2.0 air yards per game this year: just 14th percentile among RBs.
The Minnesota Vikings offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
Dalvin Cook has been among the worst possession receivers in the NFL among running backs, hauling in a mere 76.6% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 24th percentile.
The New England Patriots pass defense has allowed the 7th-lowest Completion% in the league (74.9%) vs. running backs this year (74.9%).
The New England Patriots safeties profile as the 6th-best safety corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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