Dalvin Cook Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Dalvin Cook

NFL · Player Props

Dalvin Cook

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Receiving Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 8:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Dalvin Cook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.1% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
The Vikings are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 65.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Vikings to run the 4th-most total plays among all teams this week with 68.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Dalvin Cook has run a route on 50.7% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking in the 86th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 7th-least in football.
Dalvin Cook has put up a measly -3.0 air yards per game this year: just 8th percentile among RBs.
The Minnesota Vikings offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
The Buffalo Bills pass defense has displayed good efficiency against running backs this year, surrendering 4.98 yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-least in football.

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