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Dalvin Cook

Dalvin Cook Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 3

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Dalvin Cook Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+438/-1004).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1000 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1004.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Dalvin Cook to be a more important option in his offense's pass attack near the end zone this week (10.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (4.5% in games he has played).
  • The Detroit Lions defense has given up the 2nd-most passing TDs in the league to running backs: 0.42 per game since the start of last season.
  • The Detroit Lions safeties rank as the 3rd-worst unit in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Detroit Lions pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.53 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 6th-slowest in the league since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Vikings are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 9th-most sluggish paced defense in football (in a neutral context) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 27.66 seconds per snap.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 32.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in football.
  • Dalvin Cook has totaled a measly -7.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 1st percentile among RBs.
  • The Minnesota Vikings O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

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