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Dalvin Cook

Dalvin Cook Carries
Player Prop Week 1

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Dalvin Cook Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Buffalo Bills safeties profile as the 29th-worst unit in the league since the start of last season with their run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New York Jets boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.2% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 36.6% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New York Jets have played in the 2nd-most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to higher pass volume, lower running volume, and improved offense performance when facing better conditions in this week's contest.
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

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