Dalvin Cook Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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NFL · Player Props

Dalvin Cook

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Carries

Washington Commanders vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 7, 2022 1:01 AM EST

Analysis

Dalvin Cook Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-114/-114).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Dalvin Cook to notch 17.8 rush attempts in this game, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.
Dalvin Cook has earned 73.6% of his offense's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among running backs.
The Minnesota Vikings offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in football this year at blocking for rushers.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 5.0% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 5th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 37.9% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Washington Commanders defensive ends project as the 7th-best unit in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.
The Minnesota Vikings have faced a stacked the box on 20.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Minnesota Vikings have gone no-huddle on a lowly 4.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.