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Dalvin Cook

Dalvin Cook Carries
Player Prop Week 8

Minnesota Vikings vs Arizona Cardinals

Dalvin Cook Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Vikings are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Dalvin Cook to garner 17.1 carries in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile among RBs.

Dalvin Cook has earned 72.9% of his team's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among running backs.

The Minnesota Vikings offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in run blocking.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.8% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 4th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 34.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Arizona Cardinals safeties profile as the best safety corps in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

The Minnesota Vikings have faced a stacked the box on 20.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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