Dalvin Cook Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Dalvin Cook

NFL · Player Props

Dalvin Cook

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Carries

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 11:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Dalvin Cook Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Vikings are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Dalvin Cook to earn 16.4 carries in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.
Dalvin Cook has been given 78.3% of his team's carries since the start of last season, ranking in the 99th percentile among RBs.
The Detroit Lions defensive ends profile as the worst group of DEs in football since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Vikings will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.4% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 7th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 38.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 9th-most sluggish paced defense in football (in a neutral context) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 27.66 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Minnesota Vikings offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in football since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.

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