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Dalvin Cook Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-157/+114).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -157.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.The Minnesota Vikings have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 60.7 plays per game.THE BLITZ projects Dalvin Cook to earn 16.1 rush attempts in this game, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile among RBs.Dalvin Cook has received 72.1% of his team's carries this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile among RBs.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.2% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 2nd-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 35.3% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.The New York Giants defensive tackles grade out as the 4th-best unit in football this year when it comes to run defense.The Minnesota Vikings have been faced with a stacked the box on 20.3% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
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