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Dalvin Cook Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-130/+100).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 26.75 seconds per play.THE BLITZ projects Dalvin Cook to earn 16.4 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 86th percentile among RBs.Dalvin Cook has garnered 76.4% of his team's carries this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among RBs.The Green Bay Packers linebackers project as the 6th-worst unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.The Green Bay Packers have stacked the box versus opponents on just 8.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the NFL. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Minnesota Vikings will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 6.2% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).The Vikings are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 35.1% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.The Minnesota Vikings have been faced with a stacked the box on 20.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.The Minnesota Vikings have gone no-huddle on a mere 4.5% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-least in the league). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.
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