Dalvin Cook Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Dalvin Cook

NFL · Player Props

Dalvin Cook

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Carries

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Giants · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 25, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Dalvin Cook Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-120/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Vikings are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Minnesota Vikings have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 60.7 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Dalvin Cook to accrue 17.0 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking in the 89th percentile among RBs.
Dalvin Cook has received 76.6% of his offense's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Vikings will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.6% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 35.7% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The New York Giants defensive tackles grade out as the 2nd-best DT corps in football this year when it comes to run defense.
The Minnesota Vikings have gone up against a stacked the box on 20.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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