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Dalvin Cook

Dalvin Cook Carries
Player Prop Week 14

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings

Dalvin Cook Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 134.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Dalvin Cook to accrue 16.8 carries in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 93rd percentile among running backs.

Dalvin Cook has been given 75.6% of his offense's carries this year, putting him in the 97th percentile among RBs.

The Detroit Lions defensive tackles grade out as the 9th-worst collection of DTs in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Minnesota Vikings will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.8% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).

THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 4th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 34.5% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Minnesota Vikings have gone up against a stacked the box on 20.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Minnesota Vikings have gone no-huddle on a mere 4.5% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-least in the NFL). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

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