Dalvin Cook Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Dalvin Cook

NFL · Player Props

Dalvin Cook

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Carries

Minnesota Vikings vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 20, 2022 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Dalvin Cook Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the most plays run among all games this week at 140.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Dalvin Cook to notch 16.3 rush attempts in this game, on average, putting him in the 88th percentile among RBs.
The Minnesota Vikings offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in football this year in run blocking.
The Dallas Cowboys defensive tackles grade out as the 5th-worst collection of DTs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.7% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 2nd-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 33.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Dalvin Cook has been a more important option in his team's offense this season, playing on 75.0% of snaps vs just 58.8% last season.
The Minnesota Vikings have been faced with a stacked the box on 20.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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