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Dalvin Cook

Dalvin Cook Carries
Player Prop Week 10

Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings

Dalvin Cook Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+100/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Vikings to run the 4th-most total plays among all teams this week with 68.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Dalvin Cook to total 16.7 carries in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 87th percentile among RBs.

Dalvin Cook has garnered 74.1% of his offense's carries this year, placing him in the 96th percentile among RBs.

The Minnesota Vikings offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in the league this year at run-game blocking.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.1% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

The Vikings are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 3rd-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 34.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Minnesota Vikings have gone up against a stacked the box on 20.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Buffalo Bills have stacked the box vs. opponents on 19.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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