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Dalton Schultz

Dalton Schultz Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

New England Patriots vs Houston Texans

Dalton Schultz Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-131/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +118 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -131.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 62.8% pass rate.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to see 127.8 total plays called: the 5th-most among all games this week.

The most plays in the NFL have been called by the Texans this year (a monstrous 63.2 per game on average).

The projections expect Dalton Schultz to total 5.0 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile among tight ends.

As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, New England's group of LBs has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Texans are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a running game script.

Dalton Schultz's 28.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 34.7.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Houston Texans profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.

Dalton Schultz's pass-catching performance declined this year, accumulating a measly 2.7 adjusted receptions compared to 3.9 last year.

Dalton Schultz's 59.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this year reflects a noteable drop-off in his pass-catching skills over last year's 70.0% rate.

More Dalton Schultz Player Props

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