|
|
Dalton Schultz Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-115).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -115.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
|
|
A passing game script is indicated by the Texans being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Texans to pass on 62.3% of their downs: the highest frequency among all teams this week.The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.With an impressive 77.8% Route Participation Rate (87th percentile) this year, Dalton Schultz has been among the TEs with the highest volume in the league.The model projects Dalton Schultz to earn 6.4 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 97th percentile among tight ends.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
|
|
Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Houston Texans are predicted by the predictive model to run only 63.6 offensive plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.In regards to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Texans ranks as the worst in the NFL this year.Dalton Schultz's receiving reliability have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 70.0% to 61.5%.When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles's collection of LBs has been tremendous this year, profiling as the 7th-best in the league.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
