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Dalton Schultz

Dalton Schultz Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Houston Texans vs Miami Dolphins

Dalton Schultz Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Houston Texans as the 9th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Texans to be the 2nd-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 26.66 seconds per snap.

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

The leading projections forecast Dalton Schultz to total 6.0 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 89th percentile among tight ends.

Dalton Schultz's 33.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the league leaders: 88th percentile for tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

As it relates to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Texans grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year.

Dalton Schultz's receiving reliability have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 70.0% to 62.5%.

The Dolphins pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (73.2%) vs. tight ends this year (73.2%).

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