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Dalton Schultz

Dalton Schultz Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Dalton Schultz Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -165.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the league (61.8% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Texans.
  • The predictive model expects the Houston Texans to be the 2nd-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 26.84 seconds per snap.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 8th-most in the league.
  • Dalton Schultz has run a route on 76.9% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile among tight ends.
  • In this game, Dalton Schultz is predicted by the predictive model to place in the 79th percentile among tight ends with 4.5 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical game plan.
  • In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Texans grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year.
  • Dalton Schultz's receiving performance has declined this season, accumulating a mere 2.9 adjusted catches compared to 3.9 last season.
  • Dalton Schultz's 61.4% Adjusted Completion Rate this season shows a substantial decrease in his pass-catching ability over last season's 70.0% mark.

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