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Dalton Schultz

Dalton Schultz Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Houston Texans vs Cleveland Browns

Dalton Schultz Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+118/-150).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their usual game plan.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to see 136.0 total plays run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The predictive model expects Dalton Schultz to notch 5.8 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 87th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

With a remarkable 3.7 adjusted receptions per game (82nd percentile) this year, Dalton Schultz ranks as one of the top TEs in the pass game in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 10th-least pass-focused team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 59.0% pass rate.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game against the Browns defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.

Dalton Schultz's 34.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 39.7.

As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Cleveland's collection of LBs has been tremendous this year, ranking as the 8th-best in the NFL.

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