Dalton Schultz Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+140/-180).
Key Factors
Favors Over
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Dalton Schultz has run a route on 78.3% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile among TEs.
THE BLITZ projects Dalton Schultz to earn 5.0 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 87th percentile among tight ends.
The Dallas Cowboys O-line has given their QB 2.53 seconds before getting pressured (9th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all passing game stats across the board.
Favors Under
The Cowboys are a huge 7-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
The Cowboys rank as the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 55.5% pass rate.
Dalton Schultz's pass-catching performance worsened this year, notching a measly 2.1 yards per game vs 4.3 last year.
Dalton Schultz's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% falling off from 76.3% to 53.0%.
The Detroit Lions safeties rank as the 10th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in pass coverage.