Dalton Schultz Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Dalton Schultz

NFL · Player Props

Dalton Schultz

TE · Dallas Cowboys

Receptions

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:15 PM EST

Analysis

Dalton Schultz Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+125/-165).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys offense as the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.45 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Dalton Schultz has run a route on 78.0% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 90th percentile among TEs.
THE BLITZ projects Dalton Schultz to garner 6.2 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among TEs.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 9th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 59.3% pass rate.
Dalton Schultz's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 76.3% to 70.6%.
The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Dallas Cowboys have utilized play action on a lowly 23.6% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (9th-least in the NFL), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.

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